Testing Intuition papers

Testing Intuition

Intuition can force people to be fuzzy in decision-making. Lack of clarity in choices can force people to switch or stay on certain choices. For example, the test of intuition will make me choose to stay. Staying with the choice of the envelope will be changed once the revelation that one of the three envelopes is not the correct one.  Statistically, the probability of the problem will have changed with the identification of only two choices. Fifty percent chance of the correct answer will be offered in the analysis. Switching the envelope choices will make no effect on the probability of success.

Data Collection

Subject: Results
	Correct answer	Subject's choice	Win/Lose	Stay/Switch
1	B	A	Lose	Stay
2	C	C	Win	Switch
3	A	A	Win	stay
4	C	B	Lose	Stay
5	B	B	Win	Switch
6	C	C	Win	Switch
7	A	C	Lose	Stay
8	A	A	Win	Switch
9	C	C	Win	Stay
10	A	B	Lose	Stay

Data Analysis

Question 1: Reflection of the results

 The results of the evaluation indicate the following. The total amounts of stays were six. The division of the wins over the stays offered (2/3 or 33.33-%).  The division of the loss overstay offered (4/6 or 66.667-%). Results indicated that there were four switches, in total. The division of the wins over the switch offered (2/4 or 50-%). The division of the loss over switch offered (2/4 or 50-%).

Question 2: Percentage Conformity to the rationale

  The results do not conform to the rationale of staying. Participants switched won 50-% probability. Participants who choose to stay with their choices won only 33-% of the instances. Deviation of the results can be placed on the lack of performing numerous trials. Performance of many trials would enable the numbers being assessed to have approached 50-%.

Question Three: Relevance to Psychology data collection

 The demonstration offers the best approach for psychological data collection.  Performance of the evaluation offers the identification of the expectations affecting the state of the psychological research.  Example of basing the findings on intuition can lead to faulty, as in the point of the experiment. Predictions of staying left the participants to be highly probable to lose. Research should increase the empirical evaluations for the increase of true findings and not basing the findings on intuition.

Question Four:

 The empirical studies are important due to the assessment and evaluation of the cases affecting individuals. Empirical studies are flexible in the assessment of the cases. Assessment of the people is done through repeated tests and evaluation. Empirical investigations help in the evaluation of the holistic assessment of information. Empirical research eliminates the problem of intuition. Random tests help the research method to be convenient and accessible.

 The topic of evaluation for empirical experiments is focused and based on the reality or relevance of the assessment. Objectives of the evaluation offer the assessment of the risk factors affecting the research. Researchers will be able to evade the risk factors within the desired time. Empirical research uses background or historical information to assess the issues are affecting the cases. Profiling of the case history increases the state of validity for experiments. Empirical assessment helps in the increase of feedback for employees and institutional individuals.

Question Five: Charts

Result: One

Win and Lose overstay
win	33.33-%
Lose	66.67-%

Result: Two

Win and Lose over switch
win	50.00-%
Lose	50.00-%

Reference

Wang, J. (2012). Democratic Accountability and demonstration Voting: An Empirical Experiment. Journal on Political Science, 56, 4, 913-930